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How important is Markelle Fultz to a deep 76ers playoff run?

From ESPN - April 16, 2018

After a controversial five-month hiatus, Markelle Fultz's surprising return to the surging Philadelphia 76ers has played a sizeable role in their late-season run as the hottest team in the NBA. In his past 11 games, Fultz is averaging an impressive 15.3 points, 6.8 rebounds, 9.4 assists and 2.1 turnovers per 36 minutes while becoming the youngest player in NBA history to notch a triple-double in the Sixers' regular-season finale. He has also helped spark a seemingly unstoppable bench unit.

Slotted behind likely Rookie of the Year Ben Simmons and playing in a lineup with shooting and experience at virtually every position, Fultz has been able to play free of wild expectations. But fans still hang on his every jump shot attempt.

What shape is his jumper in now? And how is it affecting the rest of his game? As the Sixers bid for a 2-0 series lead over the Miami Heat and a deep playoff run, let's dive into the impact Fultz can make.

Where is Fultz as a shooter?

While he has been a major contributor to a variety of wins, Fultz has attempted just one 3-pointer and 13 free throws (seven makes) since returning, shooting 42.5 percent from inside the arc. His jumper is a far cry from his Washington "hesi pull-up jimbo" form, as he showed against the Heat with an airballed pull-up and several turned-down, catch-and-shoot or off-the-dribble jumpers.

Pull-ups: Lacking range, threat in the paint

Fultz's lack of confidence in his 3-ball is clear when teams go under screens or give him space, though he's making incremental strides in midrange spots. He rarely looks at the rim in such situations, opting to spin into the paint or get off the ball. It's unlikely Fultz will rediscover his pull-up 3 during a high-intensity playoff run, so expect him to continue getting the Sixers into their sets or relying on midrange pull-ups and dashes to the rim before addressing the issue in the offseason.

The Heat regularly sagged off Fultz when he initiated offense in the half court, daring him to beat them from the perimeter:

Although he's not yet a threat from NBA 3, Fultz's jumper is in far better shape than it was in October.

He's still working through some rust and trying to find his natural release point, but Fultz has looked quite comfortable rising up from 15 feet despite what his percentages say (scoring only 0.538 points per possession on 26 pull-up jumpers). He set all of Philadelphia on fire with a crossover pull-up and hang-dribble jumper against the Denver Nuggets' Mason Plumlee in his first game back, and he has had some nice moments in and around the paint since then, showing flashes of what made scouts fall in love with him at the college level.

He remains extremely talented in creating space with spin-move step-backs or change-of-pace crossovers, and he keeps defenders on their heels before elevating into his pull-up. He has a special live-dribble package, and his ability to go get his midrange jumper at will, along with his positional size, have allowed him to remain a scoring threat in the half court despite playing almost exclusively inside the arc.

He maintains fairly sound mechanics when he's in his comfort zone -- in or just outside the paint with the ability to use his dribble to generate rhythm and confidence. While his release point is still different than when he shot 41.3 percent from 3 with Washington, his progress is noticeable, and the results should continue to improve as his career progresses.

Catch-and-shoot

The limited range is hurting Fultz more off the ball. He rarely spots up beyond the 3-point line, either diving to the rim or finding a body to screen. His body language does not exactly suggest that J.J. Redick should fire a quick swing, even though he's wide open:

When teammates do hit him, he attacks immediately rather than looking at the rim from 3, which is something he actually had a tendency to do at Washington, as well.

Here's a perfect example of exactly where Fultz is as a shooter right now while also showing his unique, herky-jerky nature and incredible shot-creation potential:

He turns down what would normally be a rhythm 3, getting into his comfort zone with a series of spins, step-backs, pivots and eventually a jump hook. While an impressive move, it's also a lot of work for a contested 2 when a 3 was open.

Some of those limitations make it tough for Fultz to play big minutes with Simmons, who is clearly at his best with four shooters. Fultz was an average catch-and-shoot player at Washington, attempting only 60 such shots and ranking in the 57th percentile on guarded catch-and-shoot jumpers. His release and setup was never overly fluid, but he was far more capable than he is at this stage.

He has taken only two catch-and-shoot jumpers since returning to the lineup -- that 3 and another square-in-the-air, on-the-move, midrange attempt at the end of the shot clock that looked natural and fluid. The confidence hurdles Fultz is battling show most in spot-up situations, so continuing to find ways to put the ball in his hands with shooters around him is ideal moving forward. Fultz comes alive as a ball handler, and he has shown glimpses of why he was more or less considered the consensus No. 1 pick in the 2017 NBA draft.

What can Fultz bring during Philly's playoff run?

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